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Artigo
Association between environmental and sociodemographic data and hepatitis?A transmission in Par? state (Brazil)
Hepatitis?A is a waterborne infectious disease transmitted by the eponymous hepatitis?A virus (HAV). Due to the disease's sociodemographic and environmental characteristics, this study applied public census and remote sensing data to assess risk factors for hepatitis?A transmission. Municipality?lev...
Autor principal: | Leal, Philipe Riskalla |
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Outros Autores: | Guimar?es, Ricardo Jos? de Paula Souza e, Kampel, Milton |
Grau: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
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Wiley
2021
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Acesso em linha: |
http://patua.iec.gov.br//handle/iec/4302 |
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ir-iec-43022021-05-03T18:02:40Z Association between environmental and sociodemographic data and hepatitis?A transmission in Par? state (Brazil) Leal, Philipe Riskalla Guimar?es, Ricardo Jos? de Paula Souza e Kampel, Milton Hepatite A / patologia Hepatite A / transmiss?o Sistemas de Informa??o Geogr?fica An?lise por Conglomerados Densidade Demogr?fica Hepatitis?A is a waterborne infectious disease transmitted by the eponymous hepatitis?A virus (HAV). Due to the disease's sociodemographic and environmental characteristics, this study applied public census and remote sensing data to assess risk factors for hepatitis?A transmission. Municipality?level data were obtained for the state of Par?, Brazil. Generalized linear and non?linear models were evaluated as alternative predictors for hepatitis?A transmission in Par?. The Histogram Gradient Boost (HGB) regression model was deemed the best choice (urn:x-wiley:24711403:media:gh2229:gh2229-math-0001= 2.36, and higherurn:x-wiley:24711403:media:gh2229:gh2229-math-0002 = 0.95) among the tested models. Partial dependence analysis (PDA) and permutation feature importance analysis (PFI) were used to investigate the partial dependence and the relative importance values of the independent variables in the disease transmission prediction model. Results indicated a complex relationship between the disease transmission and the sociodemographic and environmental characteristics of the study area. Population size, lack of sanitation, urban clustering, year of notification, insufficient public vaccination programs, household proximity to open?air dumpsites and storm?drains, and lack of access to healthcare facilities and hospitals were sociodemographic parameters related to HAV transmission. Turbidity and precipitation were the environmental parameters closest related to disease transmission. Based on HGB model, a hepatitis?A risk map was built for Par? state. The obtained risk map can be thought of as an auxiliary tool for public health strategies. This study reinforces the need to incorporate remote sensing data in epidemiological modelling and surveillance plans for the development of early prevention strategies for hepatitis?A. Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel, CAPES (finance Code 001), National Research Council, CNPq (grant #313588/2019-8) under program 2019-2023 (no. 4444327/2019-5) of the National Institute for Space Research, INPE; Brazil?s National Research Council (CNPq, grant #313588/2019- 8). 2021-05-03T17:44:29Z 2021-05-03T17:44:29Z 2021 Artigo LEAL, Philipe Riskalla; GUIMAR?ES, Ricardo Jos? de Paula Souza e; KAMPEL, Milton. Association between environmental and sociodemographic data and hepatitis?A transmission in Par? state (Brazil). v. xx, n. xx, p. 1-29, Apr. 2021. 2471-1403 http://patua.iec.gov.br//handle/iec/4302 10.1029/2020GH000327 eng Acesso Aberto application/pdf Wiley |
institution |
Instituto Evandro Chagas (IEC) |
collection |
PATUA |
language |
eng |
topic |
Hepatite A / patologia Hepatite A / transmiss?o Sistemas de Informa??o Geogr?fica An?lise por Conglomerados Densidade Demogr?fica |
spellingShingle |
Hepatite A / patologia Hepatite A / transmiss?o Sistemas de Informa??o Geogr?fica An?lise por Conglomerados Densidade Demogr?fica Leal, Philipe Riskalla Association between environmental and sociodemographic data and hepatitis?A transmission in Par? state (Brazil) |
topic_facet |
Hepatite A / patologia Hepatite A / transmiss?o Sistemas de Informa??o Geogr?fica An?lise por Conglomerados Densidade Demogr?fica |
description |
Hepatitis?A is a waterborne infectious disease transmitted by the eponymous hepatitis?A virus (HAV). Due to the disease's sociodemographic and environmental characteristics, this study applied public census and remote sensing data to assess risk factors for hepatitis?A transmission. Municipality?level data were obtained for the state of Par?, Brazil. Generalized linear and non?linear models were evaluated as alternative predictors for hepatitis?A transmission in Par?. The Histogram Gradient Boost (HGB) regression model was deemed the best choice (urn:x-wiley:24711403:media:gh2229:gh2229-math-0001= 2.36, and higherurn:x-wiley:24711403:media:gh2229:gh2229-math-0002 = 0.95) among the tested models. Partial dependence analysis (PDA) and permutation feature importance analysis (PFI) were used to investigate the partial dependence and the relative importance values of the independent variables in the disease transmission prediction model. Results indicated a complex relationship between the disease transmission and the sociodemographic and environmental characteristics of the study area. Population size, lack of sanitation, urban clustering, year of notification, insufficient public vaccination programs, household proximity to open?air dumpsites and storm?drains, and lack of access to healthcare facilities and hospitals were sociodemographic parameters related to HAV transmission. Turbidity and precipitation were the environmental parameters closest related to disease transmission. Based on HGB model, a hepatitis?A risk map was built for Par? state. The obtained risk map can be thought of as an auxiliary tool for public health strategies. This study reinforces the need to incorporate remote sensing data in epidemiological modelling and surveillance plans for the development of early prevention strategies for hepatitis?A. |
format |
Artigo |
author |
Leal, Philipe Riskalla |
author2 |
Guimar?es, Ricardo Jos? de Paula Souza e Kampel, Milton |
author2Str |
Guimar?es, Ricardo Jos? de Paula Souza e Kampel, Milton |
title |
Association between environmental and sociodemographic data and hepatitis?A transmission in Par? state (Brazil) |
title_short |
Association between environmental and sociodemographic data and hepatitis?A transmission in Par? state (Brazil) |
title_full |
Association between environmental and sociodemographic data and hepatitis?A transmission in Par? state (Brazil) |
title_fullStr |
Association between environmental and sociodemographic data and hepatitis?A transmission in Par? state (Brazil) |
title_full_unstemmed |
Association between environmental and sociodemographic data and hepatitis?A transmission in Par? state (Brazil) |
title_sort |
association between environmental and sociodemographic data and hepatitis?a transmission in par? state (brazil) |
publisher |
Wiley |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://patua.iec.gov.br//handle/iec/4302 |
_version_ |
1717584457387474944 |
score |
11.755432 |