Since the industrial revolution, the development of commercial sectors has been
occurring in a disorderly manner, in line with population growth. Following this dynamic,
the removal of native forests for the establishment of agricultural activities has been
increasing. According to the Public Prosecutor's Office of the State of Amazonas,
deforestation data increases annually, with emphasis on the region known as the
“deforestation arc”, which covers a large part of the southern region of the state of
Amazonas. This study aims to evaluate land use and occupation in the municipality of
Boca do Acre, located in the southern mesoregion of the state of Amazonas.
Deforestation modeling for the region was done using the DINAMICA EGO software,
considering deforestation in the region over the last 10 years, which served as a basis
for constructing land use and occupation scenarios for the coming years. For this
purpose, static and categorical variables that affect deforestation were used together
with the transition matrix. The dynamics of deforestation follow very noticeable
patterns, with the main influences being rivers and lakes, highways, urban areas and
settlements. Deforestation occurs in a concentrated manner in development
settlements, in this case described as the Federal Settlement Project (PA) and the
State Settlement Project (PAE), with a focus on the region described as the Antimary
PAE, demonstrating a loss of approximately 5% of the municipality's total forest area
to pasture, which expanded by approximately 100,000 hectares from 2022 to 2023.
The trend shows an increasing loss of forest, so monitoring and the parameters and
conditions that must be followed in the settlement territory are important, thus more
efficient management of the territory is expected and that these projections will help
direct public policies for incentives, monitoring and planning.
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