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Artigo
An analysis of the influence of the local effects of climatic and hydrological factors affecting new malaria cases in riverine areas along the Rio Negro and surrounding Puraquequara Lake, Amazonas, Brazil
A study was conducted at three sampling regions along the Rio Negro and surrounding Puraquequara Lake, Amazonas, Brazil. The aim was to determine the influence of the local effects of climatic and hydrological variables on new malaria cases. Data was gathered on the river level, precipitation, air t...
Autor principal: | Coutinho, Paulo Eduardo Guzzo |
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Outros Autores: | Cândido, Luiz Antônio, Tadei, Wanderli Pedro, Silva Junior, Urbano Lopes da, Correa, Honorly Katia Mestre |
Grau: | Artigo |
Idioma: | English |
Publicado em: |
Environmental Monitoring and Assessment
2020
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https://repositorio.inpa.gov.br/handle/1/16928 |
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oai:repositorio:1-16928 |
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oai:repositorio:1-16928 An analysis of the influence of the local effects of climatic and hydrological factors affecting new malaria cases in riverine areas along the Rio Negro and surrounding Puraquequara Lake, Amazonas, Brazil Coutinho, Paulo Eduardo Guzzo Cândido, Luiz Antônio Tadei, Wanderli Pedro Silva Junior, Urbano Lopes da Correa, Honorly Katia Mestre Atmospheric Temperature Lakes Life Cycle Malaria Control Precipitation (chemical) Rivers Air Temperature Amazon Climatic Controls Malaria Transmission River Levels Diseases Air Temperature Climate Effect Disease Incidence Disease Transmission Disease Vector Hydrological Regime Malaria Precipitation (climatology) River Basin River Water Water Level Air Temperature Anopheles Brasil Breeding Climate High Temperature Human Hydrology Lake Life Cycle Malaria Nonhuman Parasite Transmission Parasite Vector Precipitation River Temperature Sensitivity Animals Disease Carrier Environmental Monitoring Lake Malaria River Temperature Wetland Amazonas Brasil Puraquequara Lake Rio Negro [south America] Rain Animal Brasil Climate Disease Vectors Environmental Monitoring Humans Hydrology Lakes Malaria Rain Rivers Temperature Wetlands A study was conducted at three sampling regions along the Rio Negro and surrounding Puraquequara Lake, Amazonas, Brazil. The aim was to determine the influence of the local effects of climatic and hydrological variables on new malaria cases. Data was gathered on the river level, precipitation, air temperature, and the number of new cases of autochthonous malaria between January 2003 and December 2013. Monthly averages, time series decompositions, cross-correlations, and multiple regressions revealed different relationships at each location. The sampling region in the upper Rio Negro indicated no statistically significant results. However, monthly averages suggest that precipitation and air temperature correlate positively with the occurrence of new cases of malaria. In the mid Rio Negro and Puraquequara Lake, the river level positively correlated, and temperature negatively correlated with new transmissions, while precipitation correlated negatively in the mid Rio Negro and positively on the lake. Overall, the river level is a key variable affecting the formation of breeding sites, while precipitation may either develop or damage them. A negative temperature correlation is associated with the occurrence of new annual post-peak cases of malaria, when the monthly average exceeds 28.5 °C. This suggests that several factors contribute to the occurrence of new malaria cases as higher temperatures are reached at the same time as precipitation and the river levels are lowest. Differences between signals and correlation lags indicate that local characteristics have an impact on how different variables influence the disease vector’s life cycle, pathogens, and consequently, new cases of malaria. © 2018, Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature. 2020-06-15T21:37:24Z 2020-06-15T21:37:24Z 2018 Artigo https://repositorio.inpa.gov.br/handle/1/16928 10.1007/s10661-018-6677-4 en Volume 190, Número 5 Restrito Environmental Monitoring and Assessment |
institution |
Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia - Repositório Institucional |
collection |
INPA-RI |
language |
English |
topic |
Atmospheric Temperature Lakes Life Cycle Malaria Control Precipitation (chemical) Rivers Air Temperature Amazon Climatic Controls Malaria Transmission River Levels Diseases Air Temperature Climate Effect Disease Incidence Disease Transmission Disease Vector Hydrological Regime Malaria Precipitation (climatology) River Basin River Water Water Level Air Temperature Anopheles Brasil Breeding Climate High Temperature Human Hydrology Lake Life Cycle Malaria Nonhuman Parasite Transmission Parasite Vector Precipitation River Temperature Sensitivity Animals Disease Carrier Environmental Monitoring Lake Malaria River Temperature Wetland Amazonas Brasil Puraquequara Lake Rio Negro [south America] Rain Animal Brasil Climate Disease Vectors Environmental Monitoring Humans Hydrology Lakes Malaria Rain Rivers Temperature Wetlands |
spellingShingle |
Atmospheric Temperature Lakes Life Cycle Malaria Control Precipitation (chemical) Rivers Air Temperature Amazon Climatic Controls Malaria Transmission River Levels Diseases Air Temperature Climate Effect Disease Incidence Disease Transmission Disease Vector Hydrological Regime Malaria Precipitation (climatology) River Basin River Water Water Level Air Temperature Anopheles Brasil Breeding Climate High Temperature Human Hydrology Lake Life Cycle Malaria Nonhuman Parasite Transmission Parasite Vector Precipitation River Temperature Sensitivity Animals Disease Carrier Environmental Monitoring Lake Malaria River Temperature Wetland Amazonas Brasil Puraquequara Lake Rio Negro [south America] Rain Animal Brasil Climate Disease Vectors Environmental Monitoring Humans Hydrology Lakes Malaria Rain Rivers Temperature Wetlands Coutinho, Paulo Eduardo Guzzo An analysis of the influence of the local effects of climatic and hydrological factors affecting new malaria cases in riverine areas along the Rio Negro and surrounding Puraquequara Lake, Amazonas, Brazil |
topic_facet |
Atmospheric Temperature Lakes Life Cycle Malaria Control Precipitation (chemical) Rivers Air Temperature Amazon Climatic Controls Malaria Transmission River Levels Diseases Air Temperature Climate Effect Disease Incidence Disease Transmission Disease Vector Hydrological Regime Malaria Precipitation (climatology) River Basin River Water Water Level Air Temperature Anopheles Brasil Breeding Climate High Temperature Human Hydrology Lake Life Cycle Malaria Nonhuman Parasite Transmission Parasite Vector Precipitation River Temperature Sensitivity Animals Disease Carrier Environmental Monitoring Lake Malaria River Temperature Wetland Amazonas Brasil Puraquequara Lake Rio Negro [south America] Rain Animal Brasil Climate Disease Vectors Environmental Monitoring Humans Hydrology Lakes Malaria Rain Rivers Temperature Wetlands |
description |
A study was conducted at three sampling regions along the Rio Negro and surrounding Puraquequara Lake, Amazonas, Brazil. The aim was to determine the influence of the local effects of climatic and hydrological variables on new malaria cases. Data was gathered on the river level, precipitation, air temperature, and the number of new cases of autochthonous malaria between January 2003 and December 2013. Monthly averages, time series decompositions, cross-correlations, and multiple regressions revealed different relationships at each location. The sampling region in the upper Rio Negro indicated no statistically significant results. However, monthly averages suggest that precipitation and air temperature correlate positively with the occurrence of new cases of malaria. In the mid Rio Negro and Puraquequara Lake, the river level positively correlated, and temperature negatively correlated with new transmissions, while precipitation correlated negatively in the mid Rio Negro and positively on the lake. Overall, the river level is a key variable affecting the formation of breeding sites, while precipitation may either develop or damage them. A negative temperature correlation is associated with the occurrence of new annual post-peak cases of malaria, when the monthly average exceeds 28.5 °C. This suggests that several factors contribute to the occurrence of new malaria cases as higher temperatures are reached at the same time as precipitation and the river levels are lowest. Differences between signals and correlation lags indicate that local characteristics have an impact on how different variables influence the disease vector’s life cycle, pathogens, and consequently, new cases of malaria. © 2018, Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature. |
format |
Artigo |
author |
Coutinho, Paulo Eduardo Guzzo |
author2 |
Cândido, Luiz Antônio Tadei, Wanderli Pedro Silva Junior, Urbano Lopes da Correa, Honorly Katia Mestre |
author2Str |
Cândido, Luiz Antônio Tadei, Wanderli Pedro Silva Junior, Urbano Lopes da Correa, Honorly Katia Mestre |
title |
An analysis of the influence of the local effects of climatic and hydrological factors affecting new malaria cases in riverine areas along the Rio Negro and surrounding Puraquequara Lake, Amazonas, Brazil |
title_short |
An analysis of the influence of the local effects of climatic and hydrological factors affecting new malaria cases in riverine areas along the Rio Negro and surrounding Puraquequara Lake, Amazonas, Brazil |
title_full |
An analysis of the influence of the local effects of climatic and hydrological factors affecting new malaria cases in riverine areas along the Rio Negro and surrounding Puraquequara Lake, Amazonas, Brazil |
title_fullStr |
An analysis of the influence of the local effects of climatic and hydrological factors affecting new malaria cases in riverine areas along the Rio Negro and surrounding Puraquequara Lake, Amazonas, Brazil |
title_full_unstemmed |
An analysis of the influence of the local effects of climatic and hydrological factors affecting new malaria cases in riverine areas along the Rio Negro and surrounding Puraquequara Lake, Amazonas, Brazil |
title_sort |
analysis of the influence of the local effects of climatic and hydrological factors affecting new malaria cases in riverine areas along the rio negro and surrounding puraquequara lake, amazonas, brazil |
publisher |
Environmental Monitoring and Assessment |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://repositorio.inpa.gov.br/handle/1/16928 |
_version_ |
1787144708809555968 |
score |
11.755432 |