Pathways to positive scenarios for the Amazon forest in Pará state, Brazil [Caminhos de cenários positivos para a floresta Amazônica no estado do Pará, Brasil]

Siqueira-Gay, Juliana; Yanai, Aurora Miho; Lessmann, Janeth; Pessôa, Ana Carolina M.; Borja, Danilo; Canova, Moara Almeida; Borges, Rafael Cabral

Artigo

Pathways to positive scenarios for the Amazon forest in Pará state, Brazil [Caminhos de cenários positivos para a floresta Amazônica no estado do Pará, Brasil]

Infrastructure projects and agriculture expansion are increasingly threatening forest conservation in Pará state (Brazil). It becomes necessary to address the implications of these activities on the Amazon complex socio-ecological system, considering both material and non-material aspects of Nature´...

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Autor principal:	Siqueira-Gay, Juliana
Outros Autores:	Yanai, Aurora Miho, Lessmann, Janeth, Pessôa, Ana Carolina M., Borja, Danilo, Canova, Moara Almeida, Borges, Rafael Cabral
Grau:	Artigo
Idioma:	English
Publicado em:	Biota Neotropica 2020
Assuntos:	Biodiversity Conceptual Framework Deforestation Ecosystem services Forest Degradation IPBES
Acesso em linha:	https://repositorio.inpa.gov.br/handle/1/23307

id	oai:repositorio:1-23307
recordtype	dspace
spelling	oai:repositorio:1-23307 Pathways to positive scenarios for the Amazon forest in Pará state, Brazil [Caminhos de cenários positivos para a floresta Amazônica no estado do Pará, Brasil] Siqueira-Gay, Juliana Yanai, Aurora Miho Lessmann, Janeth Pessôa, Ana Carolina M. Borja, Danilo Canova, Moara Almeida Borges, Rafael Cabral Biodiversity Conceptual Framework Deforestation Ecosystem services Forest Degradation IPBES Infrastructure projects and agriculture expansion are increasingly threatening forest conservation in Pará state (Brazil). It becomes necessary to address the implications of these activities on the Amazon complex socio-ecological system, considering both material and non-material aspects of Nature´s Contributions to People (NCP). Multiple studies developed future scenarios for the Amazon, but only a few have focused on discussing positive futures derived from policies and interventions based on conservation and human well-being. Here, we aim at understanding the drivers of forest cover change to produce positive scenarios for the future of the Amazon forest in Pará state. By using the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) conceptual framework, we identified as direct drivers of forest cover change: (i) roads construction; (ii) forest degradation; (iii) hydropower projects; (iv) urban expansion; (v) agriculture and pasture expansion; (vi) rural land occupation; (vii) mining; (viii) climate change. As indirect drivers we identified: (i) energy demand; (ii) population growth; (iii) land prices; (iv) commodity demand; (v) consumption behavior. The development of conservation strategies in the borders of deforested areas is needed given the high demand for Nature´s Contributions to People supply. We also propose policies to address the main drivers of forest cover change, influencing land management and consumption behavior in the state. At last, we envision future positive scenarios that would emerge from policy applications and sustainable actions. Based on our study, we discuss the importance of social learning for developing pathways leading to positive futures that consider the integrity and development of both ecological and social systems. © 2020, Universidade Estadual de Campinas UNICAMP. All rights reserved. 2020-07-03T22:30:25Z 2020-07-03T22:30:25Z 2020 Artigo https://repositorio.inpa.gov.br/handle/1/23307 10.1590/1676-0611-BN-2019-0905 en Volume 20 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Brazil http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/br/ Biota Neotropica
institution	Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia - Repositório Institucional
collection	INPA-RI
language	English
topic	Biodiversity Conceptual Framework Deforestation Ecosystem services Forest Degradation IPBES
spellingShingle	Biodiversity Conceptual Framework Deforestation Ecosystem services Forest Degradation IPBES Siqueira-Gay, Juliana Pathways to positive scenarios for the Amazon forest in Pará state, Brazil [Caminhos de cenários positivos para a floresta Amazônica no estado do Pará, Brasil]
topic_facet	Biodiversity Conceptual Framework Deforestation Ecosystem services Forest Degradation IPBES
description	Infrastructure projects and agriculture expansion are increasingly threatening forest conservation in Pará state (Brazil). It becomes necessary to address the implications of these activities on the Amazon complex socio-ecological system, considering both material and non-material aspects of Nature´s Contributions to People (NCP). Multiple studies developed future scenarios for the Amazon, but only a few have focused on discussing positive futures derived from policies and interventions based on conservation and human well-being. Here, we aim at understanding the drivers of forest cover change to produce positive scenarios for the future of the Amazon forest in Pará state. By using the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) conceptual framework, we identified as direct drivers of forest cover change: (i) roads construction; (ii) forest degradation; (iii) hydropower projects; (iv) urban expansion; (v) agriculture and pasture expansion; (vi) rural land occupation; (vii) mining; (viii) climate change. As indirect drivers we identified: (i) energy demand; (ii) population growth; (iii) land prices; (iv) commodity demand; (v) consumption behavior. The development of conservation strategies in the borders of deforested areas is needed given the high demand for Nature´s Contributions to People supply. We also propose policies to address the main drivers of forest cover change, influencing land management and consumption behavior in the state. At last, we envision future positive scenarios that would emerge from policy applications and sustainable actions. Based on our study, we discuss the importance of social learning for developing pathways leading to positive futures that consider the integrity and development of both ecological and social systems. © 2020, Universidade Estadual de Campinas UNICAMP. All rights reserved.
format	Artigo
author	Siqueira-Gay, Juliana
author2	Yanai, Aurora Miho Lessmann, Janeth Pessôa, Ana Carolina M. Borja, Danilo Canova, Moara Almeida Borges, Rafael Cabral
author2Str	Yanai, Aurora Miho Lessmann, Janeth Pessôa, Ana Carolina M. Borja, Danilo Canova, Moara Almeida Borges, Rafael Cabral
title	Pathways to positive scenarios for the Amazon forest in Pará state, Brazil [Caminhos de cenários positivos para a floresta Amazônica no estado do Pará, Brasil]
title_short	Pathways to positive scenarios for the Amazon forest in Pará state, Brazil [Caminhos de cenários positivos para a floresta Amazônica no estado do Pará, Brasil]
title_full	Pathways to positive scenarios for the Amazon forest in Pará state, Brazil [Caminhos de cenários positivos para a floresta Amazônica no estado do Pará, Brasil]
title_fullStr	Pathways to positive scenarios for the Amazon forest in Pará state, Brazil [Caminhos de cenários positivos para a floresta Amazônica no estado do Pará, Brasil]
title_full_unstemmed	Pathways to positive scenarios for the Amazon forest in Pará state, Brazil [Caminhos de cenários positivos para a floresta Amazônica no estado do Pará, Brasil]
title_sort	pathways to positive scenarios for the amazon forest in pará state, brazil [caminhos de cenários positivos para a floresta amazônica no estado do pará, brasil]
publisher	Biota Neotropica
publishDate	2020
url	https://repositorio.inpa.gov.br/handle/1/23307
_version_	1787141815568171008
score	11.755432

Pathways to positive scenarios for the Amazon forest in Pará state, Brazil [Caminhos de cenários positivos para a floresta Amazônica no estado do Pará, Brasil]

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