Dissertação

O processo de desindustrialização no Brasil: análise empírica dos anos de 1990 a 2009

Deindustrialization process is a phenomenon predicted in the economic literature as part of economic development natural process of a country, representing the development last stage and begins when the country developed economically reaches a certain level of per capita income. The deindustrializat...

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Autor principal: Cardoso, Bárbara Françoise
Grau: Dissertação
Idioma: pt_BR
Publicado em: Universidade Federal do Tocantins 2016
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha: http://hdl.handle.net/11612/225
Resumo:
Deindustrialization process is a phenomenon predicted in the economic literature as part of economic development natural process of a country, representing the development last stage and begins when the country developed economically reaches a certain level of per capita income. The deindustrialization affects the entire economy of a country, especially the industrial sector, being observed when there is a drop in the employment share and industrial production in the national total, or when there is a change in the relationship between the demand income elasticity for industrialized products and the demand income elasticity for services. Although it is a process that naturally occurs in developed countries, deindustrialization has been observed also in developing countries. In developing countries, deindustrialization can cause negative effects on domestic industries and on economy. In this paper, econometric models were used to check for deindustrialization evidence in Brazilian economy through employment and added value from industry and demand income elasticity for industrialized products, and to analyze the Brazilian trade agenda. By results, although there is a reduction in the industrial employment share and added value from industry in recent years, the models showed no deindustrialization evidence in Brazilian economy. Analysis of the trade agenda has shown there is evidence of a new Dutch disease, when the period from 1990 to 2009 was analyzed. Regarding the demand income elasticity, it presented deindustrialization evidence in general industry, and just the industries of construction and transformation presented such evidences, when analyzed separately.