Dissertação

A construção do cenário epidemiológico do HIV e AIDS na Colômbia: uma análise espaço-temporal

The HIV and AIDS epidemic is a global health problem and has its own identity for each country, region and state. Spatial analysis techniques are useful as they allow situational diagnosis by correlating this with socio-political territorial factors that may contribute to the epidemic. However, duri...

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Autor principal: RESTREPO, Jhon Fredy Montana
Grau: Dissertação
Idioma: por
Publicado em: Universidade Federal do Pará 2020
Assuntos:
HIV
Acesso em linha: http://repositorio.ufpa.br:8080/jspui/handle/2011/12298
Resumo:
The HIV and AIDS epidemic is a global health problem and has its own identity for each country, region and state. Spatial analysis techniques are useful as they allow situational diagnosis by correlating this with socio-political territorial factors that may contribute to the epidemic. However, during the literature review, no study of this nature was observed in Colombian territory. Objective: The present study analyzed the spatial and temporal distribution of the HIV and AIDS epidemic in Colombia from 2008 to 2016. Methodology: This is an ecological study using techniques of spatial analysis and time series, in which Secondary data collected from the National Health Institute and the National Statistics Department of Colombia were analyzed. The incidence rates of HIV and AIDS and AIDS Mortality were calculated and a descriptive analysis was performed using the Microsoft® Office Excel® 2013 program and the Minitab 18® program. For temporal analysis, the regression model of the Joinpoint® 4.7.0.0 program was used. In spatial analysis, global Moran spatial autocorrection was used, followed by local spatial autocorrelation indicators, bivariate Moran analyzes and Kernel density. Spatial analyzes were performed using ArcGis 10.3.1 and TerraView 4.2.2. Results: Men were most affected by the epidemic during the study period. The incidence rate of HIV and AIDS tended to increase, while the mortality rate showed stability. The age group with the highest incidence growth was 15 to 44 in men and over 65 in women. The mortality rate increased in the age group of 65 years or more, for both sexes. The expansion of the epidemic occurred in the extreme North and from the central region towards the northeast of Colombia, with the municipalities belonging to the “coffee axis” and the Caribbean region being the areas of greatest epidemiological pressure. Tourist municipalities, crossed by the main highways, with high human development index and demographic density had the highest incidences. Between 2014 and 2016 there was an increase in incidence in municipalities in the border area with Venezuela. Conclusion: The incidence of HIV and AIDS is higher in the most developed regions of Colombia and is beginning to expand in municipalities bordering Venezuela. Highways play a major role in the spread of HIV in Colombian territory. Implementation of health policies in these places is necessary to reduce HIV and AIDS.