Potenciais impactos das simulações de mudanças climáticas e do uso da terra sobre o transporte hidroviário na bacia do rio madeira
The variation of Moorhen levels causes changes in the behavior of the inner waterway navigation. However, there are no studies on the impact of changes in share in water transport. This study aimed to analyze the influence of global and regional climate change of land use in the volume of cargo t...
| Autor principal: | Moraes, Cleide Lana Carneiro de |
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| Grau: | Dissertação |
| Idioma: | por |
| Publicado em: |
Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia - INPA
2020
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| Assuntos: | |
| Acesso em linha: |
https://repositorio.inpa.gov.br/handle/1/12618 http://lattes.cnpq.br/6507675204551810 |
| Resumo: |
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The variation of Moorhen levels causes changes in the behavior of the inner waterway
navigation. However, there are no studies on the impact of changes in share in water
transport. This study aimed to analyze the influence of global and regional climate change of
land use in the volume of cargo transported in Porto Velho stations, Humaita, Manacapuru
and Fazenda Vista Alegre. To achieve the goal we used the simulations eight climate
projections used as the hydrological model MDH-INPE data entry, from there have been
generated produced scenarios that include land use projections (ie, regional changes land
cover induced conversion of forests into pastures for the period 2011-2099), and without land
use scenarios (where the current vegetation remains unchanged throughout the simulation
period). In this context, the impact loads stream were analyzed for the period 2011 -2040. The
results ensure that global climate change (CC) impact on water levels, influencing the landing
capacity / shipping charges. Also, impacts on water transport are reduced when we include
climate change in land use (LUCC), because there is decreased due to evaporation
replacement of forest by pasture, associated with an increase in the quota river. |